Potential Danish biomass production and utilization in 2030

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This report presents scenarios for future (2030) land-use in agriculture & forestry, and for exploitation of marine resources. The newest knowledge on resource efficient production methods (e.g., maximal carbon capture by photosynthesis & efficient nutrient use) have been used to frame the three scenarios: Business-as-usual mimicking a continuation of the current conditions for production of biomass. Biomass assuming sustainable intensification of the production. Extensification taking into account significant environment, climate and nature concerns. For agriculture, also the effects of +/- 20 % animal production are analysed. The scenarios resulted in increased biomass delivery of up to 13 M tonnes of dry matter for agriculture. No significant increase was found in forestry delivery by 2030 due to the sectors’ long production cycles. Marine biomass contributed up to 58 ktonnes of dry matter. Integrated biorefinery systems were set up for analysing cascade utilization of the biomass and budget economics are discussed. The scenarios have large impacts on the land-use with up to 11 % of the farmed area set aside for nature purposes in Extensification, and with significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and nitrate leaching in all scenarios.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherDCA - Danish Centre for Food and Agriculture
Number of pages82
ISBN (Print)978-87-94420-21-1
ISBN (Electronic)978-87-94420-22-8
Commissioning bodyMinistry of Food, Agriculture and Fisheries
Publication statusPublished - 2023
SeriesDCA report
Number219
ISSN2245-1684

Note re. dissertation

Journalnummer: 2023-0477477

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